Sunday, January 07, 2007
Israel Preparing Nuclear Action Against Iran?
The Sunday Times of London has revealed that Israel is preparing military plans to utilize precision low yield nuclear strikes on Iranian nuclear targets.
Wow!
I will let you read the details that the Times revealed. I wish to talk about the consequences and potential benefits of such a military adventure.
First let us consider propaganda. Ahmadinejad has frequently and often been saying that Israel will be wiped of the map while simultaneously bragging about Iran’s nuclear progress. One does not have to be a math genius to add two plus two equals four. Israel’s calculations needs to weigh is Ahmadinejad an evil maniacal Islamofascist leader or is he merely posture with propaganda to enable Iran to be a military power in the Middle East.
If Ahmadinejad is a maniac, then it is simple addition: two plus two equals four.
If Ahmadinejad is posturing to be a regional power to deal with in the Middle East, then the equation is a bit more complicated with yet to be known variables that will end with a global answer.
If Israel’s calculations are based on simple math, then Israel may be leaking their intentions to have Ahmadinejad or his Ayatollah elders soften their public stand as well as open the Iranian so-called peaceful nuclear program to unrestrained IAEA inspection. This would be a little tit-for-tat hard line propaganda between Israel and Iran. If Iran ups the ante in the propaganda, Israel may actually follow through unilaterally on their leaked information.
I say “unilaterally” because Israel is beginning to have the impression that the Bush Administration might become hamstrung by the Democratic Party dominated U.S. Congress. This means Israel feels alone in battling for its existence. There is NO way Israel could allow an Islamofascist Iran to be armed with nuclear WMD. Israel (and I) believes that would lead to a 21st century Holocaust.
If Israel’s calculations are based on a more difficult equation, then Israel would have to think of the consequences of Jewish hatred fueled not only in the Middle East, but in the West as well. If anti-Semitism is growing now in the West, it could become huge if Israel uses nuclear weapons on a first strike basis. Such anti-Semitism could threaten Israel existentially as much as Iran wiping the Jewish State off of the map. If America abandons Israel due to a Slanted Left and Paleo-con strengthened anti-Israel political position, then Israel will in affect have zero powerful backers.
Let us next consider that Iran’s President Ahmadinejad anti-Semite war mongering words are not propaganda but rather the will of the ruling Ayatollah elites of Iran.
If the Bush Administration also believes that Ahmadinejad rhetoric is beginning to be a mixture of Twelver Shi’ite theology and political policy, then the American military may be positioning to aid Israel in striking Iranian nuclear sites. I say this because there has been speculation due to who is taking over CentCom over American forces in Iraq. Admiral William Fallon is the speculated replacement for retiring General Abizaid.
Do you catch this? A Navy man is replacing an Army man as Commander of Ground and Naval forces in the Iraq and Afghanistan area. There have also been additions to Carriers and Naval support vessels to the area. Hmm… Could there be a coordination of a military strike with Israel on Iran?
Is it possible that Bush senses that there will be no financial support to complete the job in Iraq and thus is willing to take a gamble on escalating engagement with Iran’s nuclear ambitions? There are indications that this might be the change of strategy that Bush is proceeding with.
Let us examine if Israel operates unilaterally without American help. Assuming Israel is successful on Times information on three targets; what will be the consequences for Israel? The repercussions could range from the extreme to the mild.
Of Iran has threatened it will unleash the full anger of terrorism on the West which will include disrupting the flow of oil to the West. Depending on the success in carrying out Iranian threats other Mohammedan nations may join; however there is the Sunni/Shi’ite conflict. Secretly Saudi Arabia (Wahhabi sect of the Sunni) may relish a diminishment of Iran, though I doubt the Saudis would express this glee publicly.
What happens if America acts unilaterally to strike Iranian nuclear sites? Probably same results that Israel experiences would be the outcome.
What happens if Israel and America act in tandem with precision strikes against Iran nuclear sites? Again the result of anger will be the same.
Europe is too cowardly to act.
Russia and China are too invested too act.
That leaves America and Israel. They might as well do something they have actually done in the past: a joint military precision military strike to set Iranian nuclear ambitions back. Let the consequences fall where they may.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment