Friday, October 26, 2007

Iran Nukes and the Israel/Palestine Conflict


Aaron Klein reports that a Palestinian Intelligence terrorist official is claiming that an America will attack Iran in two to three months if the latest round of sanctions is ignored by Iran.

When the Palestinian-Arab was asked on what he based his claim, he evaded the answer. The terrorist just said he “understood” from talks relating to Palestinian Statehood that America intends to pay for Arab support against Iran, including creating a Palestinian State, to launch an attack on Iranian nuke facilities.

The story could be a geopolitical brinksmanship plant in which everyone knows that World Net Daily would report. The purpose of the plant is to extend more back door notification that the Bush Administration is serious of its intentions.

In speculation there is always an “on the other hand.” The scenario makes sense.

The Arab dictatorships and Arab Monarchies (e.g. Egypt, Jordan and Saudi Arabia) not connected to the puppet strings of Iran (e.g. as Syria, Hezbollah and radical Shi’ites of Iraq) are feeling the heat of Islamist Theo-political fundamentalism (whether it is Wahhabi or radical Shi’ite). Greed of power and wealth of Arab ruling and wealthy elites does not line up with the tenets of Islamist Theo-political ideology. For many of these Arab elites (not all for some do buy into Islamism) a unified Mohammedan Islamist Caliphate-like scenario would dip into a lifestyle that runs counter to Islamism.

Then there is the Palestine issue itself. The establishment of a sovereign Palestine (God forbid) would relieve a lot of public pressure upon Arab elites to constantly have an anti-Israel policy. Certainly in public the Mohammedan minions would not accept a pro-Israel stance because of the
Dar al-Islam ideology that is ingrained in the Mohammedan mind; however among the ruling Arab elites a secretive benign policy toward Israel would go a long way in perpetuating the economic status quo and empower the ruling Arab elites to keep ruling. These Arab elites may look medieval however petro-wealth has embraced them into the 21st century global economy.

If a Palestine State exists, the Arab elites can focus more resources on shoring up their power locally.

Again, “on the other hand,” the construct of a current sovereign Palestine would be a polarity of radical religious Islamists (like Hamas) versus radical Islamofascist terrorists that use religion to gain the traditional Arabic power structure (like Fatah). In either case, a sovereign Palestine would be ruled by Terrorists whose goal is still to destroy Israel.

If an Iran, Syria Hezbollah troika attacks Israel before the US implements an attack on Iranian nuke facilities; certainly the new Palestine would join the Mohammedan troika.

The other Arab elites who had promised allegiance to America to support an American attack on Iran would be forced to reevaluate their National Interests. I suspect if there was a hint of success against the Israel’s IDF; some Arab elites would join the troika at least with lip service to satisfy the blood lust of their Mohammedan citizens.

It would be a tough call for the Arab elites for if Israel held off an Islamist attack long enough, America would be forced to use their military resources to strike back – even if Russia and China nodded support toward the Iranian coalition.

This speculation may deviate into an uncountable amount of scenarios based on who supports whom; however one thing would be certain – it would be another World War for the globe.

The essence of escalation or backing down will be all about timing and global reactions.

JRH
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2 comments:

AstroJew said...

WWIV Upon us....

SlantRight 2.0 said...

I agree it could be imminent and I agree with the appellation of "WWIV".