Sunday, November 19, 2006

A Re-Structured Bush Doctrine a New Domino Theory?

Conservative pundits that live in Israel are becoming wary of the moral clarity of the Bush Doctrine. Saul Singer of the Jerusalem Post wonders out loud that the Democratic Party Congressional election victory may have influenced Bush to fall back on classical foreign policy strategies. Conservative Israeli pundits do not look at future Secretary of Defense Gates as a friend of Israel.

Nuclear proliferation may be just over the horizon among Arab nations due to Western irresolution on Iranian nukes. Singer believes that if Bush does not shrug off the stigma of a lame duck Presidency, Israel will face tough days to remain in existence. Singer urges the President to unilaterally do something about Iran’s nuclear project.

I doubt that the President will do anything with Iran without some kind of major provocation. Indeed the talk now is to enlist Iran in negotiations to assuage the situation in Iraq. Including Iran on Iraq will validate the Iranian nuclear program.

With validation comes more boldness to act against Western and American interests. That in turn will embolden nuclear proliferation among Arab nations. The same Arab nations that have had an inferior military compared to Israel’s military. A nuclear armed Arab Middle East will diminish the Israeli military advantage that has saved its existence since 1948.

Friends this is the old domino theory once used for Communism in Southeast Asia. This is a theory which was proved true in Southeast Asia. The difference in the Middle East is that the mind-set is a culture of violence. So-called moderate Arab nations that have accepted Israel will re-think that concept if armed with nuclear weapons.

It is the dream of Ahmadinejad coming to fruition – wiping Israel off the map.

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