There is a Council on Foreign Relations report attempting to present the view point of the minority Sunni Mohammedans in Iraq. The report offers less in solution realm and more in the problem realm. Analysts disagree on what the Sunnis perceive in Iraq, thus the report does a good job of portraying those disagreements.
The one thing that the analysts do agree on is that the Sunnis feel threatened by the majority Shi’ites in Iraq. There are multiple Sunni insurgent terrorist organizations that are in fighting about how to deal with the Shi’ites. The public Sunni goal is to rid Iraq of Americans in hope of taking done the Shi’ite dominated government. Privately many Sunni leaders are hoping Americans stay longer out of fear of Shi’ites unleashing wide scale vengeance for Sunni collaboration with Hussein’s brutality and Shi’ite genocide.
There are other scenarios as well. The Brits favor getting Syria and Iran involved in negotiations to temper the Iraq situation even though the American government perceives Syria and Iran as the major problem of destabilization in Iraq.
There is talk of a three autonomous region Iraq. There is talk of America gradually leaving to allow Sunni nations to replace America’s presence to counter Iranian Shi’ite involvement in Iraq: and on and on.
It is extremely complicated in Iraq because of the butchery of Hussein on Kurds and Shi’ites and the Sunnis enjoying a half a century of dominance. There are a lot of gaping wounds in Iraq. If Iraq was a human being it would die on the surgery table or be committed to a mental institution.
From America’s stand point a bi-partisan report is about to be released on Iraq suggestions. The report was headed by former Secretary of State James A. Baker III. Baker has had a reputation of being a pro-Arab conservative. The anonymous sources that have been secreting details of the report before its official release suggest some of the very same options already discussed.
The one thing that the analysts do agree on is that the Sunnis feel threatened by the majority Shi’ites in Iraq. There are multiple Sunni insurgent terrorist organizations that are in fighting about how to deal with the Shi’ites. The public Sunni goal is to rid Iraq of Americans in hope of taking done the Shi’ite dominated government. Privately many Sunni leaders are hoping Americans stay longer out of fear of Shi’ites unleashing wide scale vengeance for Sunni collaboration with Hussein’s brutality and Shi’ite genocide.
There are other scenarios as well. The Brits favor getting Syria and Iran involved in negotiations to temper the Iraq situation even though the American government perceives Syria and Iran as the major problem of destabilization in Iraq.
There is talk of a three autonomous region Iraq. There is talk of America gradually leaving to allow Sunni nations to replace America’s presence to counter Iranian Shi’ite involvement in Iraq: and on and on.
It is extremely complicated in Iraq because of the butchery of Hussein on Kurds and Shi’ites and the Sunnis enjoying a half a century of dominance. There are a lot of gaping wounds in Iraq. If Iraq was a human being it would die on the surgery table or be committed to a mental institution.
From America’s stand point a bi-partisan report is about to be released on Iraq suggestions. The report was headed by former Secretary of State James A. Baker III. Baker has had a reputation of being a pro-Arab conservative. The anonymous sources that have been secreting details of the report before its official release suggest some of the very same options already discussed.
“…Washington is abuzz with anonymously sourced reports about its contents.Proposed solutions (CSMonitor) reportedly range from convening a regional roundtable of Iraq’s neighbors to enacting a phased redeployment of U.S. forces to stepping up the training of Iraqi security forces. Whatever its recommendations, experts expect a major shift in U.S. policy on Iraq in the coming year. President Bush, briefed by members of the bipartisan commission, informed reporters he looked forward to “their interesting ideas,” but added that “the best military options depend upon the conditions on the ground,” which suggests he would not make major troop redeployments without the Pentagon’s assent.
The report may be controversial among Republicans. Senator McCain has hinted that he may oppose the conclusions. McCain feels the solution in Iraq lay with an increased military presence.
It will be interesting how the Baker Iraq Study Group report plays out.
Crossed posted at SlantRight.com.
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