Monday, April 24, 2006

Arab Views of a Nuclear Iran


Apparently the Arab Middle East is split between distrust of America and distrust of Shi'ite Iran. For the Arabs it is the weighing of two evils. One good point brought out in this essay is that a WMD armed Iran might cause a WMD race among the Arabs that can afford the effort. The irony is traditional 20th Century Arab military powers do not have the money in the 21st Century to build a nuclear arsenal. The Arab nations which are traditionally hostile to Israel's existence - Egypt, Syria, Jordan, Iraq and Libya - only Libya might have the cash to go nuclear. Officially Libya has renounced the nuclear option. That leaves Saudi Arabia and Turkey with means to challenge Iran with a WMD arms race.

More than likely the Arab Sunnis will await the unfolding of events between America (and probably Israel) and Iran. The Arabs may opt to a decision that fits their Interests of the moment which may or may not be satisfactory to American National Interests or global peace.

The CFR analysis can be located HERE.

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