Friday, January 18, 2008

What about India in a Global Hostility?


Here is an enigmatic essay about India and China. The byline implies that the long standing foes and competitors in Asia are embarking on some kind of rapprochement. However as you read through the analysis it appears to be paragraph after paragraph of what ifs.

The conclusion that the commonality between India and China is commerce however distrust between the emerging Asian giants is far from being resolved. The enigma is will China continue to get involved with nations in India’s sphere of influence and sphere of turbulence or will India overlook that continuing Chinese excursions and seek to strengthen each other by cooperation in boosting each others economies.

How does the enigma affect American National Interests? Bush not too long ago reached out to India to forge bilateral cooperation in the nuclear realm probably to coax a partner with India’s hated enemies of Mohammedan nations. It is like Bush is trying to find a back-up if the Musharraf regime collapses to radical Islam. A radicalized Pakistan which is already the natural enemy of India would increase the hostility between the two nations.

But check it out: China is a friend of Islamist rogue nations. If Pakistan collapses my bet is China will prop up an Islamist revolutionary Pakistan government to cause more headaches for America.

There is a lot of backroom international politicking going here and India might be the key to offset China and an ally against Islamist rogue nations. So watch the moves of India, its choices could give a bonus to China or to America depending on what back door diplomacy is being ironed out.

One other point about India: India and America have not been in each other’s friendly orbit. Even though India is a democracy, it leaned heavily on military expertise from the former Communist Soviet Union. That relationship did not amuse America in Cold War days.

Yes I do believe India is the enigmatic key in global politics. The question is which nation India will decide to ultimately align with.

JRH

No comments: